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Erroneous analyses of interactions in neuroscience: a problem of significance

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Abstract

In theory, a comparison of two experimental effects requires a statistical test on their difference. In practice, this comparison is often based on an incorrect procedure involving two separate tests in which researchers conclude that effects differ when one effect is significant (P < 0.05) but the other is not (P > 0.05). We reviewed 513 behavioral, systems and cognitive neuroscience articles in five top-ranking journals (Science, Nature, Nature Neuroscience, Neuron and The Journal of Neuroscience) and found that 78 used the correct procedure and 79 used the incorrect procedure. An additional analysis suggests that incorrect analyses of interactions are even more common in cellular and molecular neuroscience. We discuss scenarios in which the erroneous procedure is particularly beguiling.

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Figure 1: Graphs illustrating the various types of situations in which the error of comparing significance levels occurs.

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S.N. conceived the project and made the figure. S.N., B.U.F. and E.-J.W. conducted the literature analyses and wrote the paper.

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Correspondence to Sander Nieuwenhuis.

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The authors declare no competing financial interests.

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Nieuwenhuis, S., Forstmann, B. & Wagenmakers, EJ. Erroneous analyses of interactions in neuroscience: a problem of significance. Nat Neurosci 14, 1105–1107 (2011). https://doi.org/10.1038/nn.2886

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