Table 2 The projected mortality rate (per 100,000) of injury attributable to temperature change in the 2060 s and 2090 s compared to the 2010s under different RCP scenarios in China
From: Temperature-related mortality in China from specific injury
| Â | RCP4.5 | RCP8.5 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
2060 s | 2090 s | 2060 s | 2090 s | |
Total Injury | 4.41(1.06,7.68) | 4.88(1.17,8.51) | 6.58(1.58,11.46) | 11.26(2.71,19.59) |
 Male | 6.91(2.96,11.23) | 7.64(3.27,12.43) | 10.3(4.41,16.75) | 17.63(7.55,28.62) |
 Female | 1.75(−0.61,4.12) | 1.94(−0.67,4.56) | 2.61(−0.9,6.14) | 4.48(−1.55,10.50) |
 Age 0–4(y) | −1.58(−5.58,1.87) | −1.75(−6.16,2.07) | −2.35(−8.3,2.79) | −4.04(−14.32,4.78) |
 Age 5–14(y) | 2.76(−1.24,6.52) | 3.05(−1.37,7.24) | 4.11(−1.85,9.75) | 7.02(−3.18,16.53) |
 Age 15–49(y) | 3.64(1.07,5.97) | 4.02(1.18,6.61) | 5.42(1.60,8.90) | 9.28(2.74,15.22) |
 Age 50–69(y) | 6.44(3.33,9.52) | 7.13(3.68,10.55) | 9.6(4.96,14.21) | 16.43(8.49,24.29) |
 Age ≥ 70(y) | 8.80(−6.21,24.42) | 9.74(−6.87,27.03) | 13.12(−9.25,36.42) | 22.49(−15.89,62.32) |
Unintentional Injury | 2.93(0.42,5.42) | 3.24(0.47,6.00) | 4.37(0.63,8.09) | 7.48(1.08,13.83) |
 Male | 4.95(1.46,8.35) | 5.48(1.62,9.24) | 7.39(2.18,12.45) | 12.64(3.74,21.28) |
 Female | 0.75(−1.11,2.61) | 0.83(−1.23,2.89) | 1.12(−1.65,3.90) | 1.92(−2.84,6.67) |
 Age 0–4(y) | −2.19(−5.79,1.56) | −2.42(−6.39,1.73) | −3.26(−8.61,2.33) | −5.60(−14.86,4.00) |
 Age 5–14(y) | 2.34(−1.70,6.31) | 2.59(−1.88,7.01) | 3.49(−2.54,9.44) | 5.96(−4.37,16.01) |
 Age 15–49(y) | 2.23(0.13,4.34) | 2.47(0.14,4.81) | 3.32(0.19,6.48) | 5.69(0.33,11.07) |
 Age 50–69(y) | 4.59(2.58,6.66) | 5.08(2.86,7.37) | 6.84(3.85,9.93) | 11.71(6.60,16.98) |
 Age ≥ 70(y) | 3.99(−8.39,16.19) | 4.42(−9.27,17.92) | 5.95(−12.5,24.14) | 10.21(−21.47,41.33) |
 Transport Injury | 1.83(0.24,3.27) | 2.02(0.27,3.62) | 2.72(0.36,4.88) | 4.66(0.61,8.33) |
 Fall | 0.64(−0.37,1.72) | 0.7(−0.41,1.91) | 0.95(−0.55,2.57) | 1.62(−0.95,4.39) |
 Drowning | 1.90(1.20,2.66) | 2.11(1.33,2.96) | 2.85(1.79,3.99) | 4.83(3.05,6.75) |
 Poisoning | −0.53(−1.45,0.13) | −0.59(−1.59,0.14) | −0.79(−2.16,0.19) | −1.37(−3.80,0.32) |
 Suffocation | −0.35(−0.56, −0.14) | −0.39(−0.62, −0.15) | −0.53(−0.83, −0.2) | −0.91(−1.45, −0.35) |
 Mechanical Force | 0.33(0.09,0.57) | 0.36(0.10,0.63) | 0.49(0.14,0.85) | 0.84(0.24,1.44) |
 Other | 0.57(0.08,1.00) | 0.63(0.08,1.11) | 0.86(0.11,1.50) | 1.46(0.19,2.54) |
Intentional Injury | 1.73(0.82,2.63) | 1.92(0.91,2.91) | 2.59(1.22,3.92) | 4.41(2.09,6.68) |
 Male | 2.32(1.08,3.64) | 2.57(1.19,4.04) | 3.46(1.61,5.44) | 5.90(2.75,9.26) |
 Female | 1.04(0.44,1.69) | 1.15(0.49,1.88) | 1.56(0.66,2.53) | 2.66(1.12,4.30) |
 Age 0–4(y) | 0.62(−0.22,1.21) | 0.70(−0.24,1.37) | 0.94(−0.33,1.87) | 1.58(−0.57,3.08) |
 Age 5–14(y) | 0.12(−0.56,0.72) | 0.13(−0.61,0.80) | 0.18(−0.83,1.09) | 0.31(−1.44,1.82) |
 Age 15–49(y) | 1.68(0.90,2.47) | 1.86(1.00,2.74) | 2.51(1.35,3.70) | 4.27(2.30,6.28) |
 Age 50–69(y) | 2.06(0.00,3.98) | 2.28(0.00,4.42) | 3.08(0.00,5.95) | 5.26(0.00,10.12) |
 Age ≥ 70(y) | 7.24(2.57,12.4) | 8.02(2.84,13.74) | 10.8(3.83,18.52) | 18.44(6.56,31.52) |
 Suicide | 1.39(0.69,2.06) | 1.54(0.77,2.29) | 2.07(1.03,3.08) | 3.53(1.77,5.25) |
 Assault | 0.42(0.14,0.73) | 0.47(0.16,0.81) | 0.63(0.21,1.1) | 1.07(0.36,1.85) |
