Extended Data Fig. 5: Expected number and risk of tipping events for high-end temperature overshoots.
From: Global warming overshoots increase risks of climate tipping cascades in a network model
Same as in Fig. 3 in the main manuscript, where the average number of tipped elements is shown for a set of convergence times and peak temperatures at a convergence temperature of a, 1.0∘C, b, 1.5∘C, and c, 2.0∘C. The respective tipping risk that at least one tipping element ends up in the tipped regime is shown in panels d, e, f. For all high-end scenarios, the tipping risk for one tipping event to occur ~ 75% if final convergence temperatures are between 1.5 − 2. 0∘C above pre-industrial levels.
