Fig. 3: Participants’ best estimates.
From: Predicting the replicability of social and behavioural science claims in COVID-19 preprints

Smoothed distribution of participants’ best estimates for each of the 29 known-outcome research claims with ≥0.8 power with an α = 0.05, organized by type of replication (new or secondary data) and success (did or did not replicate). Experienced participants are shown in yellow and beginners in blue.