Table 6 Key assumptions module parameter settings.

From: LEAP model-based analysis to low-carbon transformation path in the power sector: a case study of Guangdong–Hong Kong–Macao Greater Bay Area

Year

GDP growth rate (%)

Population growth rate (%)

Urbanization rate (%)

Industrial structure

2020

4.9

2.4

88.45

1.36:31.66:66.98

2025

4.7

1.8

89.55

1.35:29.98:68.67

2030

4.5

1.2

90.55

1.34:28.32:70.34

2035

4.2

0.6

91.45

1.32:27.40:71.28

2040

3.8

0.1

92.25

1.30:26.53:72.17

2045

3.3

 − 0.1

92.95

1.28:26.02:72.70

2050

2.9

 − 0.3

93.55

1.27:25.50:73.23

2055

2.6

 − 0.5

94.05

1.25:25.08:73.67

2060

2.3

 − 0.8

94.45

1.24:24.68:74.08