Table 7 Summary table of a posteriori statistical results obtained after Bayesian chronological modelling with ChronoModel 3.

Item	Phase	APM	HPD begin	HPD end
Event 9	Phase 4.1	− 40,879	− 41,616	− 40,154
Event 8	Phase 4.2	− 42,191	− 42,790	− 41,167
Event 7	Phase 5 upper	− 87,317	− 94,250	− 79,147
Event 6	Phase 5 upper	− 98,635	− 116,300	− 79,736
Event 5	Phase Transition	− 104,162	− 124,553	− 64,557
Event 4	Phase 5.1	− 114,367	− 131,739	− 99,092
Event 3	Phase 5.2	− 132,415	− 184,192	− 107,337
Event 2	Phase 6	− 226,011	− 273,989	− 174,589
Event 1	Phase 7	− 388,227	− 408,098	− 371,116
Phase 5 upper	Start	− 98,388	− 114,626	− 84,276
Phase 5 upper	End	− 87,200	− 94,010	− 77,689

Dates are expressed in cal BP. APM column: a posteriori mode determined on the a posteriori date distribution. HPD begin—HDP end columns: "Highest Posterior Density" date interval obtained at the 95% confidence level. Note that since Phase 5 upper contains two events (6 and 7), the beginning and the end of the phase can be estimated using Chronomodel. The other phases contain only one event, the beginning and the end of each phase corresponds to the event itself.

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