Fig. 7

Mean surface temperature trend patterns (JJA seasonal means) for CMIP5-RCP8.5 and CMIP6-SSP5-8.5. (A, D, G, J) multimodel ensemble, (B, E, H, K) most negative QRA-trending ensemble members, and (C, F, I, L) most positive QRA-trending ensemble members (“most” is defined as upper 10th percentile of multimodel ensemble).