Table 6 Comparison of the fitting and forecasted abilities under the ARDL and NARDL methods.

From: Long- and short-run asymmetric impacts of climate variation on tuberculosis based on a time series study

Models

Fitting horizon

Predicted horizon

MAD

MAPE

RMSE

MER

MAD

MAPE

RMSE

MER

ARDL

662.949

44.545

1005.782

0.111

741.521

19.611

821.298

0.189

NARDL

567.132

9.873

779.572

0.095

432.998

11.166

547.552

0.110

DM

1.282

1.809

1.017

–

8.351

7.059

4.659

–

P

0.201

0.072

0.311

–

< 0.001

< 0.001

< 0.001

–

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