Fig. 2: The intensity and sensitivity to warming of extreme precipitation as functions of spatial and temporal scales.

a The present climate (2015−2034), top 16 event-mean maximum rainfall accumulated over given temporal scales and averaged over square regions of given spatial scales. b Same as (a), but for future (2081−2100) top 16 events. c The sensitivity of extreme rainfall to warming as a function of spatial and temporal scales. d Scatter plot comparing the rainfall of the present and future top 16 events for three specific temporal-spatial scales; those cases are re-ranked and then paired for the plot. The percentage values marked near the lines are the results of linear regression.