Fig. 1: Climatology and bias of AR frequency in the northern winter based on the ERA5 reanalysis and SPEAR model hindcasts.
From: Subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) prediction of atmospheric rivers in the Northern Winter

a ERA5 AR climatology. b SPEAR AR climatology for week-1. c Comparison of zonal mean AR climatology between ERA5 and SPEAR. d Bias for week-2 hindcasts. e Bias for week-3 hindcasts. f Zonal mean bias for week-1 to week-4. Bias is computed as the difference between SPEAR and ERA5 reanalysis.