Table 2 Social value of emission trends under various assumptions and land-opportunity costs for land managers

From: Trends in tropical forest loss and the social value of emission reductions

Country

Cumulatively avoided (+) or additional (−) emissions 2000–2019 (gigatonnes CO2) (in brackets when considering emissions from wildfires)

Social value of the CO2 emission trend changes (billion US$)

Private opportunity costs of avoided forest losses (billion US$) (Methods)

Assuming permanence of emission changes after 2019

Assuming a likelihood of 1% per year (after 2019) that the saving/loss effect is reversed (Methods)

Brazil

+2.757 (+1.310)

+133.8

+72.1

−20.7

DR Congo

−1.573

−71.3

−36.6

n.a.

Indonesia

+0.471 (+0.070)

+36.7

+26.1

−24.4

  1. Land-opportunity costs for land managers refer to economic net benefits land managers forgo with forest conservation. For DR Congo, land-opportunity costs do not apply, as forest losses have not been reduced there. n.a., not applicable.
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