Extended Data Fig. 4: Estimate and 95% credible interval of the difference between seedling and adult climatic-range margins and centroids, relativized by adult climatic-range width on PC2, for each disturbance type per species.
From: Trailing edge contractions common in interior western US trees under varying disturbances
Estimates and credible intervals were calculated from the 4,000 derived posterior estimates of range margin position for each species in each disturbance type. Climatic range margins were modeled using the sample sizes displayed in Extended Data Table 2. Species points are ordered according to the mean PC1 value of plots with adults present, which ranges from hot/dry to cool/wet climates. Points significantly different from zero are outlined in black with black credible intervals and points of nonsignificant differences are gray. A significant positive estimate indicates that the seedling distribution is colder/drier than the conspecific adult distribution, whereas a negative value indicates that seedlings distributions were hotter/wetter. Species by disturbance combinations are shaded by shift type if applicable.
