Fig. 5: Predicted number of landslides for present and future top 16 cases of extreme precipitation.
The landslide prediction is based on 24-hour maximum rolling rainfall using Hong Kong’s Landslide Warning System (LWS). The mean 24-h maximum rolling rainfall is the average of the maximum 24-h rainfall for each slope in an event. Black squares (
) are the prediction based on the present-period top 16 cases. The red circles (
) are the prediction based on the current LWS and the future-period top 16 case rainfall. The blue crosses (
) are based on a modified LWS, which assumes the number of landslides does not increase when rainfall exceeds the historical maximum (see Methods). The green triangles (
) and orange diamonds (
) are the predictions using modified LWS, where the precipitation in the present-period 16 cases are assumed to increase according to CC scaling of 7%K−1 and super-CC scaling of 13%K−1, respectively.
