Fig. 3: Agroeconomic responses to heat-induced labor productivity loss by the end of the century.
From: Omitting labor responses underestimates the effects of future heat stress on agriculture
a shows responses in key crop production, producer price, consumption, labor inputs, and land inputs. The green lines denote the World means. Boxplot is across 32 GCAM regions for aggregated key crops (corn, rice, wheat, and soybean). Whiskers represent the values of the 5th to the 95th percentile; boxes range from the 25th to the 75th percentile. The thick black lines denote the medians. Colored dots denote the aggregated regional means. b shows changes in trade and food prices. Net import to consumption share and net import level presented in this figure are for Key crops only. Food price indexes are weighted by food consumption, including both crop and livestock consumption. Net import to consumption (%) and Net import (Mt) are measured in level difference, while changes in the food price index are measured as a percentage change. Results in a and b are from comparing the Crop and Labor scenario with the Crop-only scenario. Data source: GCAM results.
