Nature Search

Seasonality of agricultural exposure as an important predictor of seasonal yellow fever spillover in Brazil

Yellow fever virus (YFV) is an arbovirus affecting humans and non-human primates (NHPs) with seasonal transmission. Here Hamlet et al. model the monthly occurrence of YF in humans and NHPs across Brazil and show that seasonality of agriculture is an important predictor of seasonal YF transmission.

Arran Hamlet
Daniel Garkauskas Ramos
Neil M. Ferguson
ResearchOpen Access15 Jun 2021
Nature Communications

Volume: 12, P: 1-11
The potential public health consequences of COVID-19 on malaria in Africa

Transmission dynamics models of COVID-19 and malaria reveal how different scenarios of COVID-19 spread and varying levels of interruption to antimalarial programs could result in increased deaths in sub-Saharan Africa.

Ellie Sherrard-Smith
Alexandra B. Hogan
Thomas S. Churcher
Research07 Aug 2020
Nature Medicine

Volume: 26, P: 1411-1416
Leveraging community mortality indicators to infer COVID-19 mortality and transmission dynamics in Damascus, Syria

Reported COVID-19 mortality rates have been relatively low in Syria, but there has been concern about overwhelmed health systems. Here, the authors use community mortality indicators and estimate that <3% of COVID-19 deaths in Damascus were reported as of 2 September 2020.

Oliver J. Watson
Mervat Alhaffar
Patrick Walker
ResearchOpen Access22 Apr 2021
Nature Communications

Volume: 12, P: 1-10
Reduction in mobility and COVID-19 transmission

Social distancing policies aiming to reduce COVID-19 transmission have been reflected in reductions in human mobility. Here, the authors show that reduced mobility is correlated with decreased transmission, but that this relationship weakened over time as social distancing measures were relaxed.

Pierre Nouvellet
Sangeeta Bhatia
Christl A. Donnelly
ResearchOpen Access17 Feb 2021
Nature Communications

Volume: 12, P: 1-9
Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe

Modelling based on pooled data from 11 European countries indicates that non-pharmaceutical interventions—particularly lockdowns—have had a marked effect on SARS-CoV-2 transmission, driving the reproduction number of the infection below 1.

Seth Flaxman
Swapnil Mishra
Samir Bhatt
Research08 Jun 2020
Nature

Volume: 584, P: 257-261
Author Correction: Suppression of a SARS-CoV-2 outbreak in the Italian municipality of Vo’

Enrico Lavezzo
Elisa Franchin
Andrea Crisanti
Amendments and Corrections15 Jan 2021
Nature

Volume: 590, P: E11
Suppression of a SARS-CoV-2 outbreak in the Italian municipality of Vo’

The authors describe the prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 infection, viral load and the frequency of symptomatic versus asymptomatic and presymptomatic infection in an Italian town, before and after a strict 14-day lockdown.

Enrico Lavezzo
Elisa Franchin
Neil M. Ferguson
Research30 Jun 2020
Nature

Volume: 584, P: 425-429
Exploring agricultural land-use and childhood malaria associations in sub-Saharan Africa

Hiral Anil Shah
Luis Roman Carrasco
Kris A. Murray
ResearchOpen Access08 Mar 2022
Scientific Reports

Volume: 12, P: 1-18

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