Table 3 Summary of prespecified primary and key secondary end points for (a) period 1 and (b) period 2
a, Period 1 results | |||||||
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End point | Order of hierarchy | Population | Modela | Garetosmab LS mean (s.e.m.) | Placebo LS mean (s.e.m.) | LS mean difference (95% CI) | P valueb |
Primary: TWA of percent change from baseline in TLA by 18F-NaF PET over 28 weeks | 1 | AHO | ANCOVA | −8.1 (9.93) | 16.6 (9.11) | −24.6 (−51.8, 2.5) | 0.0741 |
Primary: percent change from baseline in total volume of HO lesions by CT at week 28 | 2 | AHO | MMRM | 7.1 (20.43) | 32.0 (18.66) | −24.9 (−80.8, 30.9) | - |
Primary: TWA of percent change from baseline in TLA by 18F-NaF PET over 28 weeks | 3 | AHOC | ANCOVA | −8.0 (10.14) | 17.6 (9.73) | −25.6 (−53.9, 2.8) | - |
Primary: percent change from baseline in total volume of HO lesions by CT at week 28 | 4 | AHOC | MMRM | 7.0 (20.87) | 34.9 (19.90) | −27.8 (−86.1, 30.5) | - |
Key secondary: TWA of change from baseline in daily average pain over 28 weeks | 5 | AHO | ANCOVA | −0.51 (0.231) | −0.17 (0.21) | −0.34 (−0.96, 0.27) | - |
6 | AHOC | ANCOVA | −0.48 (0.237) | −0.12 (0.22) | −0.36 (−1.01, 0.29) | - |
b, Period 2 results (COVID-19 mITT analysis set) | ||||||||
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End point | Order of hierarchy | Armc | n | Model | Period 1 | Period 2 | Comparison of period 1 versus period 2 | P valued |
Number of new HO lesions as assessed by CT at week 56 relative to week 28 scan | 1 | Placebo/garetosmab | 22 | Descriptive + Wilcoxon | Observed rate = 1 Total no. of lesions = 22 | Observed rate = 0 Total no. of lesions = 0 | Observed rate reduction = 100% | 0.0039 |
– | Garetosmab/garetosmab | 18 | Descriptive | Observed rate = 0.11 Total no. of lesions = 2 | Observed rate = 0 Total no. of lesions = 0 | |||
Total volume of new HO lesions as assessed by CT at week 56 relative to week 28 scan | 2 | Placebo/garetosmab | 22 | MMRM + Wilcoxon | LS mean 9.29 cm3 | LS mean 0.05 cm3 | LS mean difference, −9.24 (95% CI −17.96, −0.52) | 0.0039 |
– | Garetosmab/garetosmab | 18 | Descriptive | Mean 1 cm3 | Mean 0 cm3 | |||
Number of new HO lesions as assessed by 18F-NaF PET at week 56 relative to week 28 scan | 3 | Placebo/garetosmab | 22 | GEE + Wilcoxon | Adjusted rate 0.93 (95% CI 0.54, 1.62) Total no. of lesions = 23 | Adjusted rate 0.04 (95% CI 0.01, 0.31) Total no. of lesions = 1 | Adjusted rate ratio, 0.05 (95% CI 0.01, 0.33) Rate reduction = 95% | 0.0039 |
– | Garetosmab/garetosmab | 18 | Descriptive | Observed rate = 0.06 Total no. of lesions = 1 | Observed rate = 0 Total no. of lesions = 1 | |||
TLA by 18F-NaF PET in new lesions at week 56 relative to week 28 scan | 4 | Placebo/garetosmab | 22 | MMRM + Wilcoxon | LS mean 204.45 | LS mean 13.20 | LS mean difference, −191.25 (95% CI −390.80, 8.29) | 0.0273 |
– | Garetosmab/garetosmab | 18 | Descriptive | Mean 4.7 | Mean 0 | |||
Percent of patients with new HO lesions as assessed by CT at week 56 relative to week 28 | 5 | Placebo/garetosmab | 22 | Descriptive + McNemar | 40.9 (9 of 22) | 0 (0 of 22) | Observed relative risk reduction = 100% | 0.0027 |
– | Garetosmab/garetosmab | 18 | Descriptive | 11.1 (2 of 18) | 0 (0 of 18) | |||
Percent of patients with new HO lesions as assessed by PET at week 56 relative to week 28 | 6 | Placebo/garetosmab | 22 | GEE + McNemar | 40.9 (9 of 22) | 4.5 (1 of 22) | Adjusted relative risk reduction = 89% Adjusted odds ratio, 0.07 (95% CI 0.01, 0.48) | 0.0047 |
– | Garetosmab/garetosmab | 18 | Descriptive | 5.6 (1 of 18) | 0 (0 of 18) |