Extended Data Fig. 2: Fits of serocatalytic model and continent-specific estimates for transmission dynamics.
From: Global burden of chikungunya virus infections and the potential benefit of vaccination campaigns
(a) Seroprevalence data and model fit. For seroprvevalence data, center point is the proportion of seropositive individuals per age group and error bars is the 95% Confidence Interval from a binomial distribution. For the model fit, center line is the model fit using the median of the posterior, ribbons denote the 95% quantile of the posterior distribution. Estimates and 95%CI for different subset of continents from (b) the epidemic serocatalytic model (c) the endemic serocatalytic model fitted on data from epidemic countries (d) the endemic serocatalytic model fitted on data from endemic countries. For panels (B), (C) and (D) center points are the estimated median and error bars the estimated 95% quantile of the posterior distribution.
